Vain-Fixture
0x85c19a13231a313c38ee3e43279c7352aa35a6c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$10.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$100.00
$44.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
90 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 1 above $315?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$3.20Apr 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.80Apr 20, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$9.27Apr 20, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$40.73Apr 20, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 20, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$69.41Jan 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$23.49Jan 28, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$100.00Jan 19, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$2.05Jan 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$15.09Jan 16, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.41Jan 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.26Jan 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$97.40Jan 16, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$124.00Dec 16, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$123.63Dec 10, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$50.00Dec 8, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4?$50.00Dec 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4?$38.00Dec 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$23.50Dec 4, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 1 above $315?$14.00Dec 4, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $31.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.