Ill-Informed-Variable
0x85cb2fe7b60d02c04ed1b633a357e3d07a99dfcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$46.56
Total PnL
$-185.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$15.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1190 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
514 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Egypt airdrop aid into Gaza?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
150 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.44
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
59 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.23
- NO
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during his AI speech on July 23?
55 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
50 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".