Elaborate-Hiking
0x85d37505e630d5030f0b8f6b44b8612725bbfb28
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.41
Total PnL
$-263.36
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.41
$-1.59
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-04-02?
141 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?
127 shares @ 80.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
64 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by April 30?$0.14Apr 28, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$6.00Apr 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$2.40Apr 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?$3.00Apr 14, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 10, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?$0.62Apr 10, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$2.00Apr 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$2.80Apr 8, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$3.00Apr 8, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$2.21Apr 8, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$8.00Apr 5, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?$8.00Apr 5, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Knicks$11.08Apr 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Knicks$10.00Apr 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.00Apr 3, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$20.00Apr 3, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?$31.14Apr 3, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?$6.00Apr 3, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?$12.00Apr 3, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.