Anchored-Burn
0x85f948fc7fac88aa8bc29e13d1e62419e219e59b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 52°F or higher on January 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on January 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?$2.00Jan 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?$1.00Jan 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on January 22?$1.00Jan 23, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 52°F or higher on January 22?$1.00Jan 23, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.00Jan 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$1.00Jan 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$1.00Jan 22, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.