Substantial-Penicillin
0x85fd31db7e89864280427a9761147694cf8ab42b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-712.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2529 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-276.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1340 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-201.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K August 4–10?
954 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?
430 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?
220 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.12
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
195 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$12.43Sep 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.54Sep 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$29.15Sep 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Damascus by August 31?$5.06Aug 27, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Damascus by August 31?$0.46Aug 27, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Damascus by August 31?$4.60Aug 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$10.00Aug 27, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$32.00Aug 27, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?$32.61Aug 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 31?$58.00Aug 23, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$30.00Aug 23, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?$38.39Aug 23, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?$57.09Aug 23, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?$9.10Aug 19, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?$9.19Aug 19, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?$37.50Aug 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$201.00Aug 18, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$46.00Aug 18, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$186.21Aug 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$28.60Aug 18, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $31.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".