Those-Deathwatch
0x85fe544b96cf430748344540dad44ca907bbf044
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$45.76
Total PnL
$-36.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$11.17
$0.17
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
1 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.13
$0.13
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 27, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 6, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 3, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 2, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 29, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.00Nov 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$1.00Nov 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".