Beneficial-Pagan
0x86058a4b3288b38086c6824750eb24da5a21e648
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
40 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.00
$1.32
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 5?
2627 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
2578 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1823 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-911.50
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 4?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 30?
18 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$38.68May 1, 06:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.86Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.6KMar 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$17.94Mar 6, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.53Mar 6, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$844.80Mar 6, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.23Mar 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.8KMar 6, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 5?$2.7KMar 6, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 5?$1.2KMar 5, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 5?$1.5KMar 5, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on January 30?$20.00Mar 5, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 30?$5.40Jan 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on January 30?$12.20Jan 30, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on December 4?$18.00Jan 30, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on December 4?$9.00Dec 4, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 4?$10.00Dec 4, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 14?$1.8KNov 15, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMDAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 14?$2.0KNov 15, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $568.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.