Only-Outlaw
0x860d7841dfdb2f743d087715a5e0246892127bda
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.34
Total PnL
$-17.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 15.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.34
$0.16
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
7640 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
5640 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
3990 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
3980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
3980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
3435 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.18Mar 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 3, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.03Feb 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.02Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.09Jan 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 16, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.00Dec 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 2, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.00Nov 26, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$60.00Nov 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$22.07Nov 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$7.93Nov 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$30.00Oct 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.8KOct 30, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $853.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".