Lumbering-Outline
0x860f3c2396dfda0ce15116e9e718fcbd20382f97
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.07
Total PnL
$0.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
ETHBTC above 0.04 on Halloween?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 26.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.15
$0.84
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Yoon arrested by January 31?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$1.00Dec 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?$1.00Dec 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?$0.10Nov 17, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$1.00Nov 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.30Nov 4, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$1.00Oct 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHBTC above 0.04 on Halloween?$1.00Oct 14, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Oct 14, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".