Realistic-Gateway
0x8611ab6f2741585bb35ae9323c967aef9eb42c36
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.53
Total PnL
$-815.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-4.47
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
268 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-06?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?
102 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.94
- SEBASTIAN BAEZ
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez
97 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-11?
58 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.25
- OVER
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
54 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$2.02May 27, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)$2.08May 27, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$115.75May 4, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$100.28May 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$5.01May 3, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?$71.23Apr 26, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller$205.21Apr 26, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?$15.00Apr 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?$10.00Apr 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?$10.00Apr 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?$10.00Apr 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?$10.00Apr 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller$200.00Apr 26, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Puntarenas FC (-2.5)$2.01Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$2.01Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carnell Tate be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$2.01Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tennessee Titans draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$2.02Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sonny Styles be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$2.02Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indianapolis Colts draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$2.02Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Puntarenas FC (-1.5)$2.04Apr 24, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $59.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.