Complex-Login
0x861495e8930303975b1e5a556123cafdb7e07b0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.01
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$74.27
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
543 shares @ 7.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.01
$-23.13
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
41909 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.91
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
6216 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-76.47
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
4200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
3767 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.53
- YES
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
1700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$7.58Apr 10, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$1.98Apr 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$0.07Apr 8, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$2.65Apr 7, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.66Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.75Apr 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$7.62Apr 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.88Apr 4, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$18.00Apr 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$0.79Apr 3, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$8.61Apr 2, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.38Mar 25, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$17.00Mar 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant by March 31?$0.05Mar 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant by March 31?$0.01Mar 20, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant by March 31?$0.51Mar 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.05Mar 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.45Mar 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.05Mar 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.14Mar 16, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".