Hollow-Subroutine
0x8614d67d229cf2cc982b31726bb8633bbe06bb9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-42.86
Win rate
1%
146 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
4024 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
480 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on May 29?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 29?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 28?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.00Aug 18, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.10Aug 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.10Aug 18, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$10.00Aug 18, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.07Aug 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.06Aug 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.85Aug 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$3.04Aug 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.53Aug 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.53Aug 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.26Aug 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.53Aug 18, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Aug 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.89Aug 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.77Aug 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.53Aug 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.43Aug 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.53Aug 18, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Aug 17, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 146 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
146 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 146 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.