Forceful-Id
0x861622e40533b5e15611a6b32c2ec95cc74884d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$86.94
Total PnL
$-16.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$14.99
$0.15
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
14 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$13.95
$0.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 2?
13 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$13.00
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$12.94
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$12.00
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$10.00
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$10.00
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?
13 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.07
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 22?
15 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 26?
15 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?$0.20Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?$0.06Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$10.91Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?$12.75Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$10.78Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12?$10.00Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$12.90Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$12.35Jun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12?$0.19Jun 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12?$9.82Jun 11, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$14.89Jun 9, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 9?$14.00Jun 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$13.80Jun 9, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 9?$0.28Jun 9, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 8?$10.00Jun 9, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?$10.00Jun 8, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 9?$13.73Jun 8, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?$0.20Jun 8, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 7?$10.00Jun 8, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?$9.81Jun 7, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.