Unlawful-Incandescence
0x86175cf6445b37c56da324d2748a07acef835fa2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-91.70
Win rate
0%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- UNDER
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
800 shares @ 81.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-653.00
- UNDER
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5
500 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-385.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
473 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
389 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
375 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 4, 3AM ET
250 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-227.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
239 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
200 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-144.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
150 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-135.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET$170.00Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET$169.15Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10AM ET$160.00Jul 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10AM ET$159.84Jul 27, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET$166.92Jul 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET$59.89Jul 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET$83.78Jul 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET$22.74Jul 27, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5AM ET$160.00Jul 25, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5AM ET$159.85Jul 25, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET$154.08Jul 23, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET$150.28Jul 23, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3AM ET$165.05Jul 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3AM ET$2.31Jul 23, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3AM ET$12.68Jul 23, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3AM ET$149.63Jul 23, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2AM ET$164.00Jul 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2AM ET$13.74Jul 23, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2AM ET$145.81Jul 23, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6AM ET$160.00Jul 22, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $76.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.