Spiffy-Dungarees-Speech
0x8619354116755342d08b82a48b03a906979ac2b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.83
Realised
$-1.45
Win rate
11%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
21 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
10 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
9 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
9 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
9 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
8 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
7 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$6.06Aug 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$6.00Aug 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.19Aug 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.40Aug 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$6.00Aug 17, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$6.06Aug 17, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$6.00Aug 17, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$6.06Aug 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$6.00Aug 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.02Aug 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.58Aug 17, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.22Aug 17, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
38 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.