0x861a6beca91b553d00ac53a293ea4887cc65a173
0x861a6beca91b553d00ac53a293ea4887cc65a173
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$25.96
Total PnL
$-69.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$5.60
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.95
$0.20
- NO
Will Kulman Ghising be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
221 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
72 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-42.55
- PAUL
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
68 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-8.80
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
21 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.71Mar 6, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.46Mar 5, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Mar 4, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.45Mar 3, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Mar 2, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.21Mar 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$4.75Feb 28, 03:00 UTC
- REWARD$9.32Feb 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$9.33Feb 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.31Feb 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$42.55Feb 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$22.10Feb 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$20.40Feb 26, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$25.86Feb 26, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?$14.40Feb 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$10.00Feb 26, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$3.36Feb 25, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kulman Ghising be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.00Feb 19, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?$0.12Jan 19, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?$2.83Jan 19, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $17.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.