Unwritten-Facility
0x861aee254635b06fdadb884cb60922c5c81e88d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-48.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$0.41
- YES
Will France win the 2024 Euros?
79259 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-6.7K
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
60166 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-26.9K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
49536 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
12684 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-9.2K
- YES
Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
8661 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?
2000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$4.55Sep 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$45.91Sep 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$16.00Sep 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$400.00Sep 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$64.37Sep 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$84.00Sep 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$651.44Sep 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$220.00Sep 12, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$59.14Aug 28, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?$59.14Aug 28, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the 2022 World Cup?$0.00Aug 13, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2022 World Cup?$0.00Aug 13, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?$1.7KAug 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?$1.7KJul 14, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$50.00Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$10.63Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$69.37Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$10.21Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$79.79Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$100.00Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $220.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.