Wilted-Town
0x86240bcd9d036b1748eea9b6af36993dd0b61b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-459.50
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
1071 shares @ 46.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$1.1K
$571.30
- YES
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
8499 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2020$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will YFI total supply be greater than 30,000 by March 15th?
2512 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2021$0.00
$-819.41
- YES
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?
1563 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2021$0.00
$-641.27
- REPUBLICAN
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?
4 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.05
- REPUBLICAN
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.31
Recent activity
- MERGEWill ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?$154.17Jan 19, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?$0.00Jan 19, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".