0x8627b8933a2b32cd1d03793d6fc0295e73eefdce
0x8627b8933a2b32cd1d03793d6fc0295e73eefdce
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$19.73
Total PnL
$-206.79
Realised
$-4.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
22 shares @ 7.0¢·now 25.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.77
$4.22
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
22 shares @ 5.5¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.62
$1.40
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
22 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.03
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
22 shares @ 11.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.18
$-1.43
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
22 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.80
$-0.83
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$27.00Feb 28, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$6.26Feb 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 27?$2.14Feb 27, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?$2.63Feb 27, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 27?$2.00Feb 26, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?$2.00Feb 26, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.27Feb 26, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.20Feb 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.08Feb 26, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.98Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.55Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$1.22Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$2.60Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$1.63Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.33Feb 26, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?$11.00Feb 23, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 20?$3.37Feb 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 20?$3.20Feb 19, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B$0.19Feb 19, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".