Complicated-Ferryboat
0x86288f4baa7dbb86b1e93ca401984d6d265924da
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-379.95
Realised
$-4.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
288 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
214 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-97.80
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
190 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.54
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
117 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Iowa State advance to the Quarterfinals?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Warriors
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- OVER
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
25 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1AM ET
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
22 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iowa State advance to the Quarterfinals?$30.00Mar 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$60.00Feb 25, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$73.40Feb 25, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.00Feb 22, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50.00Feb 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$75.00Feb 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$13.54Feb 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.54Feb 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$59.63Feb 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$59.63Feb 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$38.17Feb 8, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Nicholls Colonels$9.68Feb 7, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.00Feb 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$15.98Feb 4, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Timberwolves$11.00Jan 29, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$5.00Jan 25, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLHeat vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5$15.36Jan 25, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide$4.00Jan 25, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5$8.00Jan 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$12.56Jan 25, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".