Polished-Grabbag
0x862999e050eb3a0c11c7d71c48ccf6f03014431b
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$324.68
Total PnL
$-3.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$324.36Apr 17, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$324.36Apr 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$322.41Feb 18, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$322.41Feb 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$322.09Feb 4, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$322.09Feb 4, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$120.38Jan 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $4B one day after launch?$197.00Jan 20, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$317.38Jan 20, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$316.11Jan 14, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$316.11Jan 14, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 19?$0.00Dec 31, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?$315.16Dec 31, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 19?$315.17Dec 31, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 19?$314.85Nov 18, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$103.88Nov 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$103.78Nov 10, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$23.69Nov 10, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$80.08Nov 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$23.67Oct 22, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $141.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".