Muddy-Cupcake
0x862a18b0963069b25fdedd706a28ff4b3fdc0bd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$69.97
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
70 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$69.96
$-0.04
- OVER
Timofeeva vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5
9 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.41
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5AM ET
3615 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
1140 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-535.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 1PM ET
1060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-530.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 7AM ET
632 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-316.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET
626 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-313.00
- OVER
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- OVER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- DETROIT TIGERS
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMRadivojevic vs. Ristic: Match O/U 21.5$7.50Jun 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimofeeva vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5$0.00Jun 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimofeeva vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5$4.41Jun 4, 10:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRadivojevic vs. Ristic: Match O/U 21.5$2.96Jun 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRadivojevic vs. Ristic: Match O/U 21.5$0.56Jun 3, 04:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBellucci vs. Bolt: Match O/U 23.5$2.96Jun 2, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5$3.66Jun 1, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMCretu vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 22.5$7.60May 31, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCretu vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 22.5$1.51May 31, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCretu vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 22.5$2.06May 31, 04:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$8.30May 30, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMArnaldi vs. Collignon: Match O/U 38.5$8.80May 30, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArnaldi vs. Collignon: Match O/U 38.5$3.85May 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYArnaldi vs. Collignon: Match O/U 38.5$0.29May 30, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$8.90May 30, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".