Warlike-Hobbit
0x862e586761f98722bf13404db48e06929f63a60c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-463.45
Realised
$388.38
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
2250 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
850 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-185.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
600 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?
250 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 20–27?
200 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
US recession in 2025?
176 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-57.40
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
166 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.88
- YES
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$79.50Nov 7, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$81.00Nov 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$3.83Nov 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$23.00Nov 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$10.00Nov 5, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$12.16Nov 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$36.40Oct 9, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$19.50Oct 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$31.00Oct 2, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$160.00Sep 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$10.18Aug 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$0.16Aug 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$0.11Aug 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$0.55Aug 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$7.50Aug 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$54.40Aug 29, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$35.00Aug 29, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz $23.85Aug 18, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz $33.25Aug 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$30.59Jul 27, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".