Quintessential-Displacement
0x862f4eb9e79dd5c644c98a37f4acb3960633fc3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$357.27
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
9673 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$319.20
$-376.55
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1378 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.02
$-38.98
- YES
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4360 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.90
$-54.10
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1056 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.03
$-39.97
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-4.06
- YES
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
12 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-1.89
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
6535 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$205.00Jun 2, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$204.59Jun 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$503.00Jun 2, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$500.00Jun 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.34May 23, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$13.89May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.3KApr 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.6KApr 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.00Mar 30, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$0.00Mar 26, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$2.0KMar 26, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$15.00Mar 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.00Mar 23, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.00Mar 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$2.00Mar 23, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5.00Mar 23, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$370.95Mar 23, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.45Feb 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$493.26Feb 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$1.00Feb 4, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $389.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.