Variable-Lemon
0x8630ead338a9ac4cc07e135afe07d27a382a343e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-39.21
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
211 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$210.45
$0.44
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
141 shares @ 92.5¢·now 80.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$112.92
$-17.08
- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
61 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$60.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
62 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.09
$0.09
- NO
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.21
$-2.79
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
46 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.00
$-0.00
- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 83.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$41.79
$1.79
- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 67.3¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$34.31
$4.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.62
$0.62
- NO
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.72
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$80.00Jun 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$10.00Jun 14, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00Jun 14, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$20.00Jun 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$10.00Jun 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00Jun 14, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? $20.00Jun 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$30.00Jun 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$30.00Jun 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $5.00Jun 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $15.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.