Indelible-Chance
0x863231bebe620d6fc81d1e522925ef546e0e9c97
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-191.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.00
$30.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
65 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.92
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$76.80Feb 4, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTria FDV above $200M one day after launch?$37.14Feb 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTria FDV above $200M one day after launch?$50.00Feb 2, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 2, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$25.00Feb 2, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$27.29Jan 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$20.00Jan 28, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.00Jan 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$28.00Jan 20, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?$7.00Jan 20, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTrove FDV above $20M one day after launch?$104.06Jan 20, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$10.00Jan 16, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$5.00Jan 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Space public sale?$5.00Jan 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$10.00Jan 16, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$104.59Jan 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $20M one day after launch?$50.00Jan 11, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$100.00Jan 3, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$178.57Dec 31, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 26?$0.00Dec 31, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $67.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.