Long-Piglet
0x863e5e6d31fdc4960b345d90ce4863ba5c75d0da
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$1.83
Total PnL
$-244.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
11000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 26?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?$1.00Mar 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.17Mar 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?$3.12Mar 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?$5.25Mar 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".