Reliable-Driver
0x86407194a7ee915b8a1baae34a517c65956e2eb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.15
Total PnL
$-10.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$3.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
U.S. Recession in 2024?
56 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
37 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?
11 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Mar 12, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.01Mar 12, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.00Jan 3, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$5.00Jan 3, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$15.20Jan 3, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?$0.18Dec 24, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Recession in 2024?$0.40Dec 24, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$10.00Dec 24, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$15.00Dec 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?$0.60Dec 24, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?$3.00Dec 24, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.