Candid-Sneeze
0x864669913a04d249f41770221bfc62c10812ed78
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$182.89
Total PnL
$-97.37
Realised
$82.50
Win rate
98%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?
1801 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.11
$-1.91
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$3.96Jun 13, 20:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$0.01Jun 7, 09:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$3.36Jun 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$4.85Jun 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$4.70Jun 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.84Jun 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.93Jun 6, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.00Jun 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Gyokeres be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.00Jun 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$0.00Jun 6, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.