Idolized-River
0x865316986761e536be8df6fc82d385648991c109
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-786.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
10639 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-24.69
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
905 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-585.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?
359 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 22?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$251.00Sep 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown in 2025?$251.08Sep 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$334.00Sep 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$334.38Sep 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$3.91Sep 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$3.91Sep 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$4.21Sep 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$270.00Sep 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$273.88Sep 12, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$0.00Sep 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$50.00Sep 4, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$255.00Sep 4, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$261.00Aug 6, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$261.11Aug 6, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$220.00Jul 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$36.70Jul 24, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$36.36Jul 24, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?$85.00Jul 3, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$10.00Jul 2, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$94.83Jul 2, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $85.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".