Elastic-Bucket
0x865a1ed1cebe27b8b766ee95497502c4af3e0183
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 31, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.02Oct 31, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 16, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$500.00Oct 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$500.00Oct 14, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Oct 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$500.00Oct 14, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Oct 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$500.00Oct 14, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$250.00Oct 14, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $232.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".