0x86626469fae8be632943e0d9e054abdace2c3629
0x86626469fae8be632943e0d9e054abdace2c3629
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$4.65
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
932 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.95
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
495 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
469 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
204 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.68
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
199 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.38
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
166 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
161 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-28.62
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
148 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
144 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
124 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$6.25Jul 10, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$6.11Jul 10, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$6.36Jul 10, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$14.08Jul 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$6.28Jul 10, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.31Jul 10, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$4.99Jul 10, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$8.27Jul 10, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$16.02Jul 10, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$8.00Jul 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$6.47Jul 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$6.38Jul 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$6.37Jul 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.11Jul 10, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$8.20Jul 10, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$12.75Jul 10, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$6.04Jul 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$6.18Jul 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$6.40Jul 10, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$7.19Jul 10, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.