Pushy-Credenza
0x866340e5cf754a118c890ba111ec8bf142a735e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-388.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
369 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
339 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
140 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
93 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.61
- STEELERS
Buccaneers vs. Steelers
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- GUARDIANS
Braves vs. Guardians
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- BLUE JAYS
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
27 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$12.00Oct 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.00Sep 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$25.00Sep 4, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$22.00Aug 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuccaneers vs. Steelers $20.00Aug 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBraves vs. Guardians$20.00Aug 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?$100.00Aug 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$50.00Jul 27, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$0.00Jul 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$95.49Jul 9, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Putin talk before July?$0.00Jul 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $172.94Jul 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$0.00Jul 1, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$0.00Jul 1, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$0.00Jul 1, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.00Jul 1, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?$0.00Jul 1, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$30.00Jun 25, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin talk before July?$200.00Jun 25, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July 15?$67.39Jun 24, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $71.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.