0x866dac12528727e3f11d3883c2a67f15ffa36f4c
0x866dac12528727e3f11d3883c2a67f15ffa36f4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
357 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
294 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.29
- YES
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
293 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.29
- YES
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-30?
128 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?
70 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?$0.20Dec 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$0.05Dec 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.28Dec 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.12Dec 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?$0.20Dec 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.15Dec 5, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 5, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.12Dec 3, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.13Dec 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich win on 2024-11-30?$0.13Nov 30, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?$0.42Nov 30, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$0.05Nov 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.28Nov 29, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?$0.84Nov 29, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 18, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden wins the Popular Vote?$0.13Oct 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.19Oct 6, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEverton wins the Premier League?$0.72Sep 28, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".