Actual-Valley
0x866e59b149bec51fa0d0cd789455c9428fa4cfb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.99
Total PnL
$-17.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
461 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.99
$0.69
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2214 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2214 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2214 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2214 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.30Mar 17, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$0.00Mar 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$8.00Mar 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$7.91Feb 3, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?$1.00Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?$1.01Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMAnthropic acquired in 2025?$1.01Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMHalf-Life 3 released in 2025?$1.02Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.03Dec 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalf-Life 3 released in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?$1.00Nov 29, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.2KNov 21, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Nov 21, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Nov 21, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $553.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".