Brave-Hummus
0x8673e56b63b9cec4bbf96b4d4bd01a9333464025
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-187.77
Realised
$-24.14
Win rate
48%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
71 shares @ 91.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.14
$5.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
57 shares @ 87.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.71
$6.71
- NO
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?
55 shares @ 89.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.75
$3.40
- NO
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 91.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.18
$2.85
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.93
$2.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
42 shares @ 92.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.96
$2.19
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.48
$0.41
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 93.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.41
$1.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.53Jun 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.06Jun 25, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.94Jun 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.82Jun 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.95Jun 25, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.71Jun 25, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 25, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 25, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.11Jun 25, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$19.84Jun 25, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.50Jun 25, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.66Jun 25, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.