Jumbo-Patron
0x867470a1b827e7441f82a0d9d7f36cc8fd170d1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$154.77
Total PnL
$-14.17
Realised
$16.34
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
24 shares @ 37.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$22.43
$13.47
- NO
Will Solana reach $80 on July 22?
16 shares @ 79.4¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.92
$2.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?
16 shares @ 77.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.55
$2.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?
16 shares @ 70.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$12.96
$1.76
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on July 22?
16 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$12.40
$-0.72
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on July 22?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.00
$0.05
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.20 on July 22?
8 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.90
$0.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22?
8 shares @ 93.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.84
$0.36
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on July 22?
8 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.78
$1.06
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 22?
8 shares @ 85.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.72
$0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?$6.16Jul 22, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on July 22?$6.16Jul 22, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$0.96Jul 22, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22?$1.12Jul 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 on July 22?$6.56Jul 22, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 on July 22?$1.04Jul 22, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$2.81Jul 22, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$3.35Jul 22, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$1.32Jul 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on July 22?$7.49Jul 22, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 22?$0.40Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on July 22?$0.40Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.60Jul 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$4.24Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$1.60Jul 22, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?$0.32Jul 22, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$6.96Jul 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.28Jul 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on July 22?$0.80Jul 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.85Jul 22, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.