Thin-Id
0x867b63d393033a15ad6465dfbd88e3d452772296
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-18.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
651 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$650.52
$3.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on March 29?
360 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$360.00
$0.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?
488 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.12
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
479 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?
440 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 26?
190 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on March 29?$359.64Mar 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$369.26Mar 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$369.63Mar 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?$1.76Mar 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$646.75Mar 24, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.04Mar 13, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$540.00Dec 12, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$522.18Nov 24, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 16?$560.25Nov 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 16?$558.32Nov 15, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$400.00Nov 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$399.20Nov 5, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?$70.85Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$160.16Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$220.00Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$250.00Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$300.00Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nick Taylor win the 2025 BMW Championship?$300.08Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$480.00Oct 29, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$159.36Oct 13, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $179.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".