Great-Godfather
0x8680c50b90eaa64b497cccc1680f742d88733390
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.67
Total PnL
$-770.85
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
17 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$16.67
$10.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?
975 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?
558 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-172.73
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
239 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
72 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
- YES
Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
72 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5?
52 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.92
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
39 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$10.00Mar 10, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$6.67Mar 6, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$50.00Mar 6, 14:41 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Mar 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5?$18.44Mar 5, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5?$3.55Mar 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 5?$2.00Mar 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.05Mar 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.05Mar 5, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?$0.03Mar 5, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.