Calm-Metal
0x86845971bb12a0a264ab7a40819ddd84860bb673
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-473.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
3667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
543 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
207 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-103.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
178 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
144 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will iShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2025 Streamer Awards?
140 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-28.20
- YES
Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
108 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will JasonTheWeen win Streamer of the Year at the 2025 Streamer Awards?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will G2 Esports win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$103.33Dec 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$25.00Dec 10, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$20.00Dec 10, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Dec 10, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?$1.00Dec 7, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$10.00Dec 7, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$100.00Dec 7, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Mavericks$0.52Dec 7, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Mavericks$25.00Dec 7, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Mavericks$33.33Dec 7, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Mavericks$100.00Dec 7, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$1.00Dec 7, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$10.00Dec 7, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Dec 6, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Dec 6, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Dec 6, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$50.00Dec 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$10.00Dec 6, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$114.20Dec 6, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $32.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".