0x8685938ef737a7cd8d3002baee25b3f4ccb0be37
0x8685938ef737a7cd8d3002baee25b3f4ccb0be37
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-528.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1297 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-161.84
- YES
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-03?
618 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-64.93
- NO
Will FedEx say "Guidance" during earnings call?
575 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-74.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 22?
316 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- NO
Will FedEx say "Dividend" during earnings call?
227 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-38.32
- NO
Will FedEx say "De Minimis" during earnings call?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?
138 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-29.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 22?
131 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- NO
Will Oracle say "OpenAI" during earnings call?
108 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 22?$2.37Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 22?$16.37Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 22?$3.43Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22?$22.50Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 22?$0.63Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 22?$8.05Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 22?$5.81Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$18.00Mar 31, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$0.00Jan 18, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)$0.00Jan 18, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$0.00Jan 18, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Oxygen Esports vs Karn & Co (BO3)$0.00Jan 18, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)$0.00Jan 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)$0.00Jan 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner$0.00Jan 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)$0.00Jan 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)$0.00Jan 18, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony?$0.00Jan 18, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Skims / NikeSKIMS" during earnings call?$26.00Jan 16, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".