Regular-Eyebrow
0x8685dfa336339638e06952a0676889841849948b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$194.27
Total PnL
$-0.47
Realised
$0.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
50 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.22
$0.46
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
52 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.03
$0.03
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
52 shares @ 96.8¢·now 94.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.76
$-1.24
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
48 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.26
$-0.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.66Jun 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$41.75Jun 13, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$46.39May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.13May 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$47.26May 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$51.30May 16, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$3.38May 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$47.05May 9, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.46May 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12.00May 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.35May 9, 10:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$50.62May 8, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.37May 8, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $28.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.