Soggy-Thermometer
0x868c40b83d2b0a322a8f8917912381ff56481d0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.61
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$308.11
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1748 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.35
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1663 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1052 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?
897 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?
808 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?
717 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-112.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?
587 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-128.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?
543 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-159.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?
543 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$2.14Jun 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1?$15.84Jun 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 31, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.34May 31, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 2?$10.63May 31, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$13.96May 30, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on June 2?$1.69May 30, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on June 2?$1.39May 30, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 2?$42.45May 30, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?$16.03May 29, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?$100.44May 29, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?$14.94May 29, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?$5.30May 29, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?$53.04May 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 29?$58.31May 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 29?$9.53May 29, 09:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.22May 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.98May 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.02May 27, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00May 27, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".