Orderly-Mobster
0x868e44623050d416bcbeacb47a00eb672869ce3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$319.34
Total PnL
$-0.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$120.01Aug 2, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $200 in August?$200.03Aug 2, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?$155.31Jul 31, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$170.51Jul 31, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$170.02Jul 20, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?$155.01Jul 20, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out by June 30?$50.71Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$87.00Jun 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$18.31Jun 22, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 22?$127.13Jun 22, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$105.03Jun 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$52.20Jun 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$51.31Jun 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 22?$127.01Jun 19, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1?$120.12Jun 1, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$120.73Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$120.00Jun 1, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$135.27Jun 1, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1?$120.01Jun 1, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$130.26May 28, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $129.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.