Complex-Innovation
0x869033223b38b49ad7b046ed2cbd7d5f0b9046f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-768.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
7143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
2432 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1000 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-137.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
634 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
519 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
451 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
444 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
333 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
313 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$20.00Feb 19, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$20.00Feb 6, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$32.41Jan 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$13.34Jan 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$18.42Jan 9, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$40.00Jan 8, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$60.00Jan 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$33.48Jan 8, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$40.00Jan 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 7, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Jan 4, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$57.78Dec 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$20.00Dec 3, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$20.00Dec 3, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$20.00Dec 3, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?$44.44Oct 17, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $58.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".