Carefree-Optimist
0x8694b6d96bc1e41b3f7884639ad7b6c94fb3ab4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-685.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?
4667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1410 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
1028 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-297.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on December 8?
955 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-199.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 14?
913 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 16?
850 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 14?
322 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 14?
203 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$30.75May 24, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$53.69May 23, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$219.48May 23, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$514.29May 22, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$183.51May 21, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 16?$2.00Mar 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?$5.00Mar 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?$13.00Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 16?$15.00Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?$10.00Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?$0.00Feb 10, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?$0.00Feb 10, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?$0.00Feb 10, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?$0.00Feb 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$240.10Feb 9, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?$5.69Feb 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNo Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?$5.71Feb 8, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $33.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".