Knotty-Boundary
0x86a486897481b01c1e1b3ff93c25d3a1dead4fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
290 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on September 17?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 17?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
59 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122,000 on September 17?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on September 17?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
16 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 17?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$1.16Sep 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 17?$1.00Sep 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Sep 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.17Sep 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.86Sep 16, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Sep 16, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$4.00Sep 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Sep 16, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".