Esteemed-Fridge
0x86a5227bae722acd6e3fb2b7f4abaafb3b3ff9e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$464.48
Total PnL
$418.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
460 shares @ 2.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$459.77
$447.97
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
104 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.05
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?$5.00Aug 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Aug 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?$5.00Aug 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2025?$2.00Aug 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?$2.00Aug 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.05Aug 13, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill another state be the closest state?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon Trump?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Hampshire be the closest state?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$0.00Jul 7, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $11.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".