Doting-Dilution
0x86a6a519817e7bb547743b3a33899c29b4a04c3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$18.97
Total PnL
$-24.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $1.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 50.6¢·now 25.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.79
$-7.70
- YES
Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.35B?
40 shares @ 32.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$6.40
$-6.40
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
21 shares @ 32.7¢·now 12.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$-4.09
- YES
Will the Houston Astros have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$1.02
$-1.02
- YES
Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?
51 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.62
$-1.34
- YES
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 37.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-3.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jul 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$15.03Jul 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?$12.14Jul 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCoca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?$6.68Jul 13, 06:33 UTC
- REWARD$110.78Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?$2.91Jul 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?$22.28Jul 12, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?$13.38Jul 12, 05:01 UTC
- MERGEWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?$9.28Jul 12, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?$3.05Jul 12, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?$6.62Jul 12, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?$0.42Jul 12, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?$31.96Jul 12, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.50?$13.42Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GE Aerospace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above $12.75B?$7.43Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$1.17Jul 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?$35.16Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?$6.70Jul 12, 02:14 UTC
- MERGEWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$50.00Jul 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$16.67Jul 12, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.