Sparse-Divider
0x86ad7e76d4216f440ffd87b780134dc476c7c423
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.55
Total PnL
$1.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.25
$5.25
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 45.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.18
$1.18
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$2.08
$1.08
- NO
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win The Bronx in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ace Bailey play in the Jazz Summer League?
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MIAMI MARLINS
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Roy Cooper announce NC senate run before Oct?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFIFA Club World Cup: 175+ Goals Scored?$0.00Jul 5, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday?$1.12Jul 5, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? $0.00Jul 4, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMNo Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?$0.00Jul 4, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00Jul 4, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$1.27Jul 4, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper announce NC senate run before Oct?$1.00Jul 2, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m in 2025?$1.00Jul 1, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$1.00Jul 1, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$0.00Jul 1, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday?$1.00Jun 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?$1.00Jun 30, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Jun 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ace Bailey play in the Jazz Summer League?$1.00Jun 30, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Club World Cup: 175+ Goals Scored?$1.00Jun 30, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Jun 30, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.00Jun 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Jun 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 30, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".